Latihan Peluang 03

Q1

We are to find the probability that when three dice are rolled at the same time, the largest value of the three numbers rolled is 4. Let A be the outcome in which the largest number is 4, let B the outcome in which the largest number is 4 or less, and C be the outcome in which the largest number is 3 or less.

Let P(X) denote the probability that the outcome of an event is X. Then

(1)  P(B) = …

(2)  P(C) = …

(3)  Since B = A ∪ C and the outcomes A and C are mutually exclusive, it follows that P(A) = …

 

Define the events and total outcomes

Event A: The largest number rolled is exactly 4. This means at least one die shows 4, and no die shows 5 or 6.

Event B: The largest number rolled is 4 or less. This means all three dice show numbers from 1 to 4.

Event C: The largest number rolled is 3 or less. This means all three dice show numbers from 1 to 3.

 

Each die has 6 equally likely outcomes, and with three dice, every combination is equally probable, so we’ll compute probabilities by counting favorable outcomes and dividing by 6³ = 216.

 

(1)  Compute P(B)

Event B occurs when all three dice show a number that is 4 or less (i.e., 1, 2, 3, or 4). For each die:

  • Possible outcomes: [1, 2, 3, 4}
  • Number of choices per die: 4

Since the dice are independent:

Number of outcomes for three dice: 4 × 4 × 4 = 4³ = 64

Total outcomes: 216

Thus, the probability is: \(\text{P(B)} = \dfrac{64}{216}\)

 

(2)  Compute P(C)

Event C occurs when all three dice show a number that is 3 or less (i.e., 1, 2, or 3). For each die:

  • Possible outcomes: [1, 2, 3}
  • Number of choices per die: 3

Since the dice are independent:

Number of outcomes for three dice: 3 × 3 × 3 = 3³ = 27

Total outcomes: 216

Thus, the probability is: \(\text{P(C)} = \dfrac{27}{216}\)

 

(3)  Compute P(A) using the given relationship

B = A ∪ C and the outcomes A and C are mutually exclusive.

In probability, for mutually exclusive events, P(A ∩ C) = 0

\(\text{P(B) = p(A) + P(C)}\)

\(\dfrac{64}{216} = \text{P(A)} + \dfrac{27}{216}\)

\(\text{P(A)} = \dfrac{64}{216}\:-\: \dfrac{27}{216}\)

\(\text{P(A)} =\dfrac{37}{216}\)

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